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Using data from two surveys in three counties in which the prevalence of uxorilocal marriage differs greatly, this article analyzes the effects of marriage form, individual, family, and social factors on age at first marriage and spousal age difference. The results show that, under the Chinese patrilineal joint family system, compared with the dominant virilocal marriage form, uxorilocal marriage significantly lowers women's age at first marriage, increases men's age at first marriage, and consequently increases spousal age difference. Education, number of brothers, adoption status, marriage arrangement, and marriage circle also significantly affect age at first marriage for both genders. Age at first marriage and spousal age difference vary greatly among the three counties. These findings address the process and consequences of change in rural family and marriage customs during the current demographic and social transition and may help to promote later marriage and later childbearing under the present low fertility conditions in rural China.

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Society of Biology
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This study examines the relationship between gender and intergenerational transfer among rural-urban migrants and how it is affected by urban culture, specifically the impact on the provision of daily care and emotional well-being of the elderly. Using a sample from the city of Shenzhen (whose population has grown from 20,000 to 5 million in 25 years), researchers will analyze the impact of caregivers' out-migration from rural areas to urban areas on intergenerational relationships in rural areas and the social implications for aging.

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BACKGROUND: Cervical-cancer screening strategies that involve the use of conventional cytology and require multiple visits have been impractical in developing countries. METHODS: We used computer-based models to assess the cost-effectiveness of a variety of cervical-cancer screening strategies in India, Kenya, Peru, South Africa, and Thailand. Primary data were combined with data from the literature to estimate age-specific incidence and mortality rates for cancer and the effectiveness of screening for and treatment of precancerous lesions. We assessed the direct medical, time, and program-related costs of strategies that differed according to screening test, targeted age and frequency, and number of clinic visits required. Single-visit strategies involved the assumption that screening and treatment could be provided in the same day. Outcomes included the lifetime risk of cancer, years of life saved, lifetime costs, and cost-effectiveness ratios (cost per year of life saved). RESULTS: The most cost-effective strategies were those that required the fewest visits, resulting in improved follow-up testing and treatment. Screening women once in their lifetime, at the age of 35 years, with a one-visit or two-visit screening strategy involving visual inspection of the cervix with acetic acid or DNA testing for human papillomavirus (HPV) in cervical cell samples, reduced the lifetime risk of cancer by approximately 25 to 36 percent, and cost less than 500 dollars per year of life saved. Relative cancer risk declined by an additional 40 percent with two screenings (at 35 and 40 years of age), resulting in a cost per year of life saved that was less than each country's per capita gross domestic product--a very cost-effective result, according to the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health. CONCLUSIONS: Cervical-cancer screening strategies incorporating visual inspection of the cervix with acetic acid or DNA testing for HPV in one or two clinical visits are cost-effective alternatives to conventional three-visit cytology-based screening programs in resource-poor settings.

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New England Journal of Medicine
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Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert

Encina Commons Room 101,
615 Crothers Way,
Stanford, CA 94305-6006

(650) 723-2714 (650) 723-1919
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Henry J. Kaiser, Jr. Professor
Professor, Health Policy
Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Senior Fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
Professor, Economics (by courtesy)
grant_miller_vert.jpeg PhD, MPP

As a health and development economist based at the Stanford School of Medicine, Dr. Miller's overarching focus is research and teaching aimed at developing more effective health improvement strategies for developing countries.

His agenda addresses three major interrelated themes: First, what are the major causes of population health improvement around the world and over time? His projects addressing this question are retrospective observational studies that focus both on historical health improvement and the determinants of population health in developing countries today. Second, what are the behavioral underpinnings of the major determinants of population health improvement? Policy relevance and generalizability require knowing not only which factors have contributed most to population health gains, but also why. Third, how can programs and policies use these behavioral insights to improve population health more effectively? The ultimate test of policy relevance is the ability to help formulate new strategies using these insights that are effective.

Faculty Fellow, Stanford Center on Global Poverty and Development
Faculty Affiliate, Stanford Center for Latin American Studies
Faculty Affiliate, Woods Institute for the Environment
Faculty Affiliate, Interdisciplinary Program in Environment & Resources
Faculty Affiliate, Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
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A diagnosis of chronic war-related posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) has been linked consistently to poor employment outcomes. This study investigates the relation further, analyzing how symptom severity correlates with work status, occupation type, and earnings. Study participants were male Vietnam veterans with severe or very severe PTSD who received treatment in the Department of Veterans Affairs system (N = 325). Veterans with more severe symptoms were more likely to work part-time or not at all. Among workers, more severe symptoms were weakly associated with having a sales or clerical position. Conditional on employment and occupation category, there was no significant relation between PTSD symptom level and earnings. Alternative PTSD symptom measures produced similar results. Our findings suggest that even modest reductions in PTSD symptoms may lead to employment gains, even if the overall symptom level remains severe.

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Mental Health Services Research
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Mark W. Smith
Mark W. Smith
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In 1998, the Chinese government proposed a universal health-insurance program for urban employees. However, this reform has been advancing slowly, primarily due to an unpractical financing policy. We surveyed over 2000 families and evaluated the financial impacts of Beijing's reform on public and private enterprises. We found that most state-owned enterprises provided effective health insurance, whereas most private firms did not; overall, 33% of employees had little or no coverage. On average, employees of private firms were healthier and earned more compared to public firms. Because the premium was proportional to income, private firms would pay more for insurance than the predicted health-care expense of their employees. International firms subsidize the most, contributing more than 60% of their insurance premiums to the employees of the public sector. Such an aggressive cross-subsidization policy is difficult to be accepted by private firms.

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Health Policy
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This issue of CHP/PCOR's quarterly newsletter covers news and developments from the winter 2004 quarter. It features articles about:

  • a widely publicized study by CHP/PCOR researchers which found that routine HIV screening is cost-effective and would extend the lives of HIV-positive patients;
  • publication of the first three volumes of "Closing the Quality Gap," a report prepared by researchers at CHP/PCOR and UCSF that evaluates quality improvement strategies for specific medical conditions;
  • a health vouchers plan co-authored by Victor Fuchs, which would provide comprehensive health coverage for all Americans, while maintaining individual choice and free-market competition;
  • a research collaboration led by CHP/PCOR that has been awarded a grant to develop a comprehensive Medicare reform plan; and
  • the work of former CHP/PCOR trainee Jessica Haberer, who is doing HIV/AIDS research in China for the William J. Clinton foundation, and recently met the former president in this capacity.
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CHP/PCOR
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This issue of CHP/PCOR's quarterly newsletter covers news and developments from the fall 2004 quarter. It features articles about:

  • the newly created Center on Advancing Decision Making for Aging (CADMA), a multidisciplinary research collaboration administered by CHP/PCOR that will explore how older Americans make decisions about their health and well-being;
  • a roundtable discussion with healthcare and biotech industry leaders, sponsored by CHP/PCOR and led by Sean Tunis, MD, chief medical officer at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services;
  • groundbreaking research on the health needs and health status of China's elderly, conducted by trainees in CHP/PCOR's China-U.S. Health and Aging Research Fellowship;
  • research by CHP/PCOR faculty and affiliates on racial disparities in the use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs), the drug industry's marketing of low-dose forms of hormone replacement therapy, and the long-term risks of surgery and anesthesia; and
  • renewed funding and seed projects for CHP/PCOR's Center on the Demography and Economics of Health and Aging.
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CHP/PCOR
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428 Herrin Labs
Department of Biological Sciences
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305-5020

(650) 725-7727 (650) 725-7745
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Burnet C. and Mildred Finley Wohlford Professor of Biological Sciences
Director of the Morrison Institute for Population and Resource Studies
marcus-feldman_profilephoto.jpeg MS, PhD

Marcus Feldman is the Burnet C. and Mildred Finley Wohlford Professor of Biological Sciences and director of the Morrison Institute for Population and Resource Studies at Stanford University. He uses applied mathematics and computer modeling to simulate and analyze the process of evolution. His specific areas of research include the evolution of complex genetic systems that can undergo both natural selection and recombination, and the evolution of learning as one interface between modern methods in artificial intelligence and models of biological processes, including communication. He also studies the evolution of modern humans using models for the dynamics of molecular polymorphisms, especially DNA variants. He helped develop the quantitative theory of cultural evolution, which he applies to issues in human behavior, and also the theory of niche construction, which has wide applications in ecology and evolutionary analysis. He also has a large research program on demographic issues related to the gender ratio in China.

Feldman is a trustee and member of the science steering committee of the Santa Fe Institute. He is managing editor of Theoretical Population Biology and associate editor of the journals Genetics; Human Genomics; Complexity; the Annals of Human Genetics; and the Annals of Human Biology. He is a former editor of The American Naturalist. He is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and of the California Academy of Science. His work received the "Paper of the Year 2003" award in all of biomedical science from The Lancet. He has written more than 335 scientific papers and four books on evolution, ecology, and mathematical biology. He received a BSc in mathematics and statistics from the University of Western Australia, an MSc in mathematics from Monash University (Australia), and a PhD in mathematical biology from Stanford. He has been a member of the Stanford faculty since 1971.

Stanford Health Policy Associate
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